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Mai i te hauwhā tuatoru o te tau 2025, kua wehe te mākete taura muka whatu o te ao i ngā tau maha o te hekenga o ngā taumata utu, ka whakarewahia he pikinga utu pakari me te hanganga kāore e whakaatu ana i ngā tohu o te hekenga. He rerekē mai i ngā whakatikatika utu ōrite i ngā huringa o mua, ko tēnei huringa o ngā pikinga e whakaatu ana i ngā rerekētanga nui puta noa i ngā kāwai hua, ngā hongere hoko me ngā mākete ā-rohe, e whakatū ana i ngā wero whakahaere me te hoko nui mō ngā kiritaki ahumahi,pokapū raraungangā kaiwhakawhanake,waea pūkorongā kaiwhakahaere me ngā kaiwhakauru otinga o te ao. E tautokona ana e ngā raraunga ahumahi kua manatokohia me te mātauranga mekameka tuku, ka wetewetehia e tēnei tuhinga ngā kaiārahi matua, ngā nekehanga utu ka taea te ine me ngā huarahi mākete roa o tēnei nekehanga ahumahi nui.
E ai ki ngā raraunga hoko a CRU me ngā raraunga hoko waea ā-rohe, kua piki ake te utu o te muka aratau-kotahi G.652.D, te tūāpapa o ngā whakatinanatanga waea tuku iho me te FTTH, neke atu i te 30% mai i te tīmatanga o te tau 2025. Mai i te mutunga o Hakihea 2025 ki waenganui o Hānuere 2026, kua piki ake te utu o te muka G.652.D kore utu mai i te 20 yuan mō ia muka-kiromita ki te neke atu i te 35 yuan mō ia muka-kiromita, me ētahi utu ā-rohe neke atu i te 44 yuan mō ia muka-kiromita. Kua kite ngā wāhanga muka teitei me ngā wāhanga muka motuhake i ngā pikinga nui ake: ko te muka G.657.A kāore e piko, e whakamahia whānuitia ana i roto i ngā pokapū raraunga me ngā pūnaha whakawhitiwhiti kōrero rererangi hōia, kua piki ake mai i te neke atu i te 30 yuan mō ia muka-kiromita ki te neke atu i te 50 yuan mō ia muka-kiromita i roto i te marama kotahi. Ko te muka roa-roa tino iti te ngaronga o G.654.E, te muka aratau-maha whānui-rahi OM5 me te muka matua-pokapū e whakahau ana i te 20% ki te 30% te utu pai, memuka matua-pokatata ki te 1000 ngā wā o ngā utu i te muka G.652.D paerewa. I taua wā tonu, kua tino piki ake ngā utu hoko pokapū a te kaikawe, he tohu pumau mō te wā roa,—ko te hoko taura matua 24-matua GYTA G.652.D a China Tower mō ngā tau 2025-2026 i whakatakoto i te turanga o te 1197 yuan mō ia kiromita hipoki, i te mea ko ngā hoko ā-rohe a China Telecom i eke ki te 49% teitei ake, e whakaū ana i te whakaoranga whānui o te mākete.
Ko te whānui haere o te hanganga rorohiko AI te tino kaupapa matua e huri ana i te whanaketanga o te tono muka whatu o te ao. E whakaū ana ngā tātaritanga ahumahi e rima ki te tekau ngā wā ka nui ake te whakamahinga o ngā hanganga muka whatu kua arotauhia e te AI i ngā whakaurunga kapua tuku iho, ā, ko te Hononga Pokapū Raraunga (DCI) me te hononga tere-teitei o roto i ngā pokapū raraunga te wāhanga tono tino tere te tipu. E whakaatu ana ngā raraunga CRU i piki ake te tono muka pokapū raraunga o te ao mā te 75.9% i ia tau i te tau 2025, ā, e matapaetia ana ka eke tēnei wāhanga ki te 30% o te tono muka katoa o te ao i te tau 2027, mai i te 5% noa iho i te tau 2024. Ko ngā kamupene tauine nui o Amerika Te Raki, e ārahi ana i te whakataetae whakangungu tauira reo nui me te whakatau, kua tuku ota nui mō ngā hua muka mahi-teitei, e mimiti ana i ngā taonga o te ao o ngā muka motuhake, ā, e whakaoho ana i te korenga o ngā tuku puta noa i te mekameka uara katoa. Hei whakanui ake i tēnei, kua puta ake te tono muka taumata-hoia mai i ngā pūnaha whakawhitiwhiti kōrero waka rererangi kore tangata (UAV) hei take pikinga nui, me te tono muka UAV ā-tau e eke ana ki te 50-60 miriona kiromita muka i te tau 2025, e tata ana ki te 10% o te tono katoa o te ao.
I te taha tuku, nā te kaha whakaputa uaua me te roa o ngā huringa whakawhānui o runga ake nei i hanga he aukati tuku tonu, e whakanui ana i te kikī o te mākete. Ko te muka whatu, te rauemi mata nui o runga ake nei, he tino uaua ngā tukanga hanga me te huringa whakawhānui paerewa o te 18 ki te 24 marama, ko te tikanga ko te kaha hou i tīmatahia i te tau 2025 kāore e eke ki te hokohoko tae noa ki te tau 2026, 2027 rānei. Ko ngā kaihanga matua o te ao tae atu ki a Yangtze Optical Fiber and Cable, Hengtong Optic-Electric me FiberHome kua nekehia rautaki te kaha whakaputa muka me te muka iti ki ngā raina muka motuhake teitei-tawhē, me te whakaiti tika i te putanga o te muka G.652.D paerewa mō ngā tono waea tuku iho me te FTTx. Nā tēnei hurihanga kaha kua whakanui ake i te korenga o te tuku i roto i te mākete matua, ahakoa kei te pumau tonu te kaha whakaputa ahumahi whānui. Hei tāpiri, ko te tono kaha o tāwāhi mai i Amerika Te Raki, te Middle East me te Tonga-mā-rāwhiti o Āhia kua akiaki i te pikinga tere o Hainataura muka whatungā kaweake, e whakararuraru ana i te tuku ā-whare, ā, e piki ake ana ngā utu o waho o te wheketere mō ngā ota nui.
Ko te whakaae tahi a te umanga, me te tautoko a te whakatauira tuku-tono, e tohu ana ka mau tonu tēnei ia pikinga utu tae noa ki te tau 2026, me te huringa puru katoa e 2 ki te 3 tau. E matapaetia ana ka neke atu te tono muka o te ao i te 800 miriona muka-kiromita i te tau 2027, engari ka whakaroa te tuku whai hua nā te ngaronga o te whai huatanga whakaputa mai i te huringa kaha—ka mahi ngā raina whakaputa muka motuhake i te 30% iti iho te whai huatanga i ngā raina muka paerewa, ka whānui ake te āputa tuku tuturu ki tua atu i ngā taumata 5% e matapaetia ana. Mō ngā kaihoko hinonga, he mea nui ngā rautaki whakaiti mōrearea matatau: te whakarite i ngā whakaaetanga anga roa me ngā kaihanga whakauru-mua whai tohu, te whakanui i ngā puna tuku puta noa i ngā kaihoko o te whare me tāwāhi, me te whakarite i te whakamahere rawa mō ngā muka G.652.D, G.657.A me OM5 matua-nui ka taea te ārai i te piki haere o ngā utu. Ko ngā kaiwhakahaere waea e whakamahere ana i ngā hoko pokapū me ngā kaiwhakawhanake pokapū raraunga e whakahaere ana i ngā hanganga tauine nui me whakauru i te matapae utu roa ki roto i te tahua kaupapa me ngā anga whakahaere mōrearea mekameka tuku.
I te urunga atu o te mākete taura muka whatu o te ao ki tētahi wāhanga tipu hurihuri e akiakihia ana e te tono, me huri ngā kaipupuri ahumahi mai i te whakahaere utu tauhohe ki te whakamahere rautaki matatau. Mā te aroturuki i ngā tukunga kaha preform, te aroturuki i ngā piki me ngā heke o te tono e akiakihia ana e te AI me te whakamahi i te arotautanga mekameka tuku e akiakihia ana e ngā raraunga, ka taea e ngā pakihi te whakatere i te piki me te heke o te mākete me te whiwhi painga whakataetae i roto i te pūnaha whakawhitiwhiti whatu o te ao e whanake haere ana.
